Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 92.9%. A draw had a probability of 5.3% and a win for Crystal Palace Women had a probability of 1.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.13%) and 2-0 (10.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.52%), while for a Crystal Palace Women win it was 0-1 (0.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.