Nations League
Mar 20, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia
  • Oleksiy Hutsuliak 66' goal
  • Vladyslav Vanat 73' goal
  • Illia Zabarnyi 78' goal
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 40'
  • yellowcard Youri Tielemans 68'

Ukraine vs Belgium - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ukraine

All competitions

Belgium

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result

Ukraine 31.43% (-0.25)
Draw 27.21% (-0.06)
Belgium 41.36% (+0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.37% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.1% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 55.9% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 22.99% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 77.01% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 10.11% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 89.89% (-0.07)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5 67.28% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 32.72% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 30.73% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 69.27% (+0.12)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5 73.38% (+0.23)
Under 0.5 26.61% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 38.16% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 61.84% (-0.29)

Score analysis

Ukraine 31.43%
Draw 27.2%
Belgium 41.35%
Ukraine
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 7.19% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.44% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.02% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 31.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.87% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 8.71% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.76% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.2%
Belgium
0-1 @ 11.52% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.52% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 7.63% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.76% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.37% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.1% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.25% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.11% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 41.35%

Head to Head

European Championship
Jun 26, 2024 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz-Arena
  • Artem Dovbyk 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wout Faes 43'