Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 53.42%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 24.64% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 2-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.