Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.