Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 57.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.35% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 20.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%) , while for a Crusaders win it was 1-0 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.