Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 75.94%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 9.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.02%) and 0-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.1%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.