Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.