FA Cup
Apr 27, 2025 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Wembley Stadium
  • Morgan Gibbs-White 65' yellowcard
  • Ramon Sosa 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Rico Lewis 2'
  • goal Josko Gvardiol 51'
  • yellowcard Jack Grealish 55'
  • yellowcard Nico O'Reilly 78'
  • yellowcard Stefan Ortega 87'

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Manchester City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 56.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 2-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result

Nottingham Forest 21.72% (-1.15)
Draw 22.23% (+0.04)
Manchester City 56.04% (+1.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.86% (-1.76)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.84% (-1.59)
Under 2.5 42.16% (+1.58)
Over 3.5 35.43% (-1.61)
Under 3.5 64.56% (+1.61)
Over 4.5 18.59% (-1.23)
Under 4.5 81.4% (+1.22)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 66.81% (-1.92)
Under 0.5 33.18% (+1.91)
Over 1.5 30.21% (-2.17)
Under 1.5 69.79% (+2.16)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 85.1% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 14.9% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 56.73% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 43.26% (+0.35)

Score analysis

Nottingham Forest 21.72%
Draw 22.23%
Manchester City 56.04%
Nottingham Forest
2-1 @ 5.73% (-0.24)
1-0 @ 5.45% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 3.01% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 2.11% (-0.21)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.21)
3-0 @ 1.11% (-0.10)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 21.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.38% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.26)
0-0 @ 4.94% (+0.35)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.15)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.23%
Manchester City
1-2 @ 9.88% (+0.07)
0-1 @ 9.41% (+0.60)
0-2 @ 8.96% (+0.52)
1-3 @ 6.27% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.69% (+0.30)
2-3 @ 3.46% (-0.19)
1-4 @ 2.99% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 2.71% (+0.13)
2-4 @ 1.65% (-0.11)
1-5 @ 1.14% (-0.02)
0-5 @ 1.03% (-98.07)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 56.04%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2025 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The City Ground
  • Morgan Gibbs-White 27' yellowcard
  • Ryan Yates 76' yellowcard
  • Callum Hudson-Odoi 83' goal
  • Callum Hudson-Odoi 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 32'
  • yellowcard Matheus Nunes 56'
Premier League Gameweek 14
Dec 4, 2024 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Bernardo Silva 8' goal
  • Kevin De Bruyne 31' goal
  • Ilkay Gundogan 52' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Doku 57' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Dominguez 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Morgan Gibbs-White 51'
  • yellowcard Murillo 54'
  • yellowcard Nikola Milenkovic 76'
Premier League Gameweek 35
Apr 28, 2024 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The City Ground
  • goal Josko Gvardiol 32'
  • goal Erling Haaland 71'
Premier League Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 4 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Phil Foden 7' goal
  • Phil Foden 7' goal
  • Erling Haaland 14' goal
  • Erling Haaland 14' goal
  • Manuel Akanji 18' yellowcard
  • Manuel Akanji 18' yellowcard
  • Pep Guardiola 19' yellowcard
  • Pep Guardiola 19' yellowcard
  • Rodri 46' redcard
  • Ederson 58' yellowcard
  • Jack Grealish 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nuno Tavares 21'
  • yellowcard Nuno Tavares 21'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sangare 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Morgan Gibbs-White 46'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sangare 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Taiwo Awoniyi 58'
  • yellowcard Orel Mangala 77'
  • yellowcard Divock Origi 81'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Montiel 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 24
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Chris Wood 84' goal
  • goal Bernardo Silva 41'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 7.30pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Erling Braut Haaland 12' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 23' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 38' goal
  • Joao Cancelo 50' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 65' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 87' goal

Build-up

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