Aston Villa vs Cardiff City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 54.79%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 22.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.