Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 53.8%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 23.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.