Copa del Rey
Barcelona
Feb 25, 2025 8.30pm
4
4
HT : 3 2
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
Atletico
  • Pedri 19' goal
  • Pau Cubarsi 21' goal
  • Inigo Martinez 41' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 74' goal
  • goal Julian Alvarez 1'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 6'
  • yellowcard Javi Galan 16'
  • yellowcard Diego Simeone 70'
  • yellowcard Jose Gimenez 82'
  • goal Marcos Llorente 84'
  • yellowcard Pablo Barrios 88'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sorloth 90'+1'
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 90'+3'

Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 51.36%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Barcelona 51.36% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 23.41% ▲ (+0.30)
Atletico Madrid 25.22% ▼ (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.19% ▼ (-1.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.27% ▼ (-1.55)
Under 2.5 43.73% ▲ (+1.54)
Over 3.5 33.88% ▼ (-1.53)
Under 3.5 66.12% ▲ (+1.53)
Over 4.5 17.44% ▼ (-1.14)
Under 4.5 82.56% ▲ (+1.13)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5 82.92% ▼ (-0.60)
Under 0.5 17.08% ▲ (+0.59)
Over 1.5 52.74% ▼ (-1.06)
Under 1.5 47.26% ▲ (+1.05)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 68.97% ▼ (-1.02)
Under 0.5 31.03% ▲ (+1.01)
Over 1.5 32.66% ▼ (-1.21)
Under 1.5 67.34% ▲ (+1.20)

Score analysis

Barcelona 51.36%
Draw 23.41%
Atletico Madrid 25.22%
Barcelona
2-1 @ 9.69% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.37% ▲ (+0.45)
2-0 @ 8.28% ▲ (+0.24)
3-1 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.16)
4-1 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.10)
4-0 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 51.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.96% ▲ (+0.24)
2-2 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.16)
0-0 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.35)
3-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.41%
Atletico Madrid
1-2 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.25)
0-2 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 25.22%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 18
Barcelona
Dec 21, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
Atletico
  • Pedri 30' goal
  • yellowcard Axel Witsel 54'
  • goal Rodrigo De Paul 60'
  • yellowcard Robin Le Normand 77'
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Jose Gimenez 90'+7'
La Liga Gameweek 29
Atletico
Mar 17, 2024 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Barcelona
  • Rodrigo De Paul 46' yellowcard
  • Stefan Savic 61' yellowcard
  • Pablo Barrios 89' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Molina 90'+2' redcard
  • yellowcard Jules Kounde 33'
  • goal Joao Felix 38'
  • yellowcard Xavi 41'
  • redcard Xavi 42'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 47'
  • goal Fermin Lopez 65'
La Liga Gameweek 15
Barcelona
Dec 3, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
Atletico
  • Joao Felix 28' goal
  • Joao Felix 50' yellowcard
  • Ferran Torres 78' yellowcard
  • Ronald Araujo 79' yellowcard
  • Xavi 82' yellowcard
  • Joao Cancelo 87' yellowcard
  • Frenkie de Jong 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Gimenez 31'
  • yellowcard Axel Witsel 34'
  • yellowcard Koke 38'
  • yellowcard Cesar Azpilicueta 47'
La Liga Gameweek 30
Barcelona
Apr 23, 2023 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Spotify Camp Nou
Atletico
  • Ferran Torres 44' goal
La Liga Gameweek 16
Atletico
Jan 8, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Barcelona
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 22'
La Liga Gameweek 23
Barcelona
Feb 6, 2022 3.15pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT
Atletico
  • Jordi Alba 10' goal
  • Gavi 21' goal
  • Ronald Araujo 43' goal
  • Dani Alves 49' goal
  • Jordi Alba 52' yellowcard
  • Dani Alves 69' redcard
  • Frenkie de Jong 72' yellowcard
  • Gavi 83' yellowcard
  • goal Yannick Carrasco 8'
  • goal Luis Suarez 58'
  • yellowcard Daniel Wass 89'
  • yellowcard Hector Herrera 90'

Form Data

Las Palmas 0 - 2 Barcelona
Barcelona 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla 1 - 4 Barcelona
Valencia 0 - 5 Barcelona
Barcelona 1 - 0 Alaves
Barcelona 2 - 2 Atalanta
Valencia 0 - 3 Atletico
Atletico 1 - 1 Celta Vigo
Real Madrid 1 - 1 Atletico
Atletico 5 - 0 Getafe
Atletico 2 - 0 Mallorca
Salzburg 1 - 4 Atletico

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups