World Cup Qualifying - South America
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-
Diego Medina
61'
-
Manuel Ugarte
42'
-
Rodrigo Bentancur
54'
Bolivia vs Uruguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivia win with a probability of 35.57%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 0-1 (12.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Bolivia
35.57%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
29.67%
▼
(-0.14)
Uruguay
34.75%
▲
(+0.09)
Both Teams to Score:
43.01%
▲
(+0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5
35.94%
▲
(+0.43)
Under 2.5
64.05%
▼
(-0.43)
Over 3.5
16.77%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 3.5
83.22%
▼
(-0.31)
Over 4.5
6.55%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 4.5
93.45%
▼
(-0.17)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5
65.86%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 0.5
34.13%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 1.5
29.17%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 1.5
70.82%
▼
(-0.28)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5
65.31%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 0.5
34.69%
▼
(-0.30)
Over 1.5
28.58%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 1.5
71.41%
▼
(-0.32)
Score analysis
Bolivia
35.57%
Draw
29.66%
Uruguay
34.75%
Bolivia
1-0
@
12.72%
▼
(-0.12)
2-1 @ 7.24% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.84% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 35.57%
2-1 @ 7.24% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.84% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 35.57%
Draw
1-1
@
13.47%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 11.83% ▼ (-0.19)
2-2 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.66%
0-0 @ 11.83% ▼ (-0.19)
2-2 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.66%
Uruguay
0-1
@
12.53%
▼
(-0.11)
1-2 @ 7.13% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 6.64%
1-3 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 34.75%
1-2 @ 7.13% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 6.64%
1-3 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 34.75%
Head to Head
-
Facundo Pellistri
8'
-
Facundo Pellistri
8'
-
Darwin Nunez
21'
-
Darwin Nunez
21'
-
Maximiliano Araujo
77'
-
Maximiliano Araujo
77'
-
Federico Valverde
81'
-
Federico Valverde
81'
-
Rodrigo Bentancur
89'
-
Rodrigo Bentancur
89'
-
Yomar Rocha
65'
-
Yomar Rocha
65'
