Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 9

Oct 22, 2023 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
1 - 0
Monza

El Shaarawy (90')
Cristante (70'), Mancini (78')
Mourinho (90+11')

FT(HT: 0-0)

D'Ambrosio (23'), Pepin (45+1'), Pepin (45+2'), Palladino (87'), Gagliardini (90+7')
D'Ambrosio (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Cagliari 1-4 Roma
Sunday, October 8 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Monza 3-0 Salernitana
Sunday, October 8 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monza have scored only twice on the road this season - like Roma, they tend to thrive on home soil. Stadio Olimpico is never an easy place to visit, so the Biancorossi's momentum may be checked, as their hosts hand them a first defeat for over a month. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 63.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Monza had a probability of 16.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
Roma	Draw	Monza
63.15% ( 0.08)	20.37% ( -0.04)	16.48% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 53.69% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.2% (

0.09)

41.79% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.8% (

0.09)

64.2% (

-0.09)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.38% (

0.05)

12.61% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.27% (

0.1)

38.73% (

-0.1)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.44% (

0.01)

38.55% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.69% (

75.3% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Roma 63.14%

Monza 16.48%

Draw 20.37%

Roma	Draw	Monza
2-0 @ 10.42% 1-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 63.14%	1-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.37%	0-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.5% 1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 16.48%