Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 22, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio de Sao Luis

Farense
1 - 3
Benfica

Belloumi (23')
Falcao (53')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Kokcu (16'), Cabral (34'), Fernandez (67')
Luis (26'), Mario (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-1 Farense
Saturday, April 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Marseille 1-0 Benfica (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, April 18 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: SC Farense 1-2 Benfica

With five games left in the league season, Benfica have to put their European disappointment behind them and need a positive result here to keep their league hopes alive. While Farense have proven difficult to beat on their home patch this season, we feel the Eagles will be able to grind out a result in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 65.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 14.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.07%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
SC Farense	Draw	Benfica
14.27% ( -0.05)	19.83% ( 0.19)	65.89% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 50.16% (

-0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.21% (

-0.98)

43.79% (

0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.82% (

-0.96)

66.18% (

0.97)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.29% (

-0.68)

42.71% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.95% (

-0.58)

79.04% (

0.58)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.56% (

-0.33)

12.44% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.63% (

-0.69)

38.37% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

SC Farense 14.28%

Benfica 65.89%

Draw 19.83%

SC Farense	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.51% Total : 14.28%	1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.92% Total : 19.83%	0-2 @ 11.54% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 8.02% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.82% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 4.18% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 3.55% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.1) 0-5 @ 1.74% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 1.48% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.25% Total : 65.89%