Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 13, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-0 SC Farense
Vitoria de Guimaraes have hit their stride at the business end of the season and will head into the weekend with sky-high confidence. Pacheco's men take on a Farense side who have struggled to get going on the road and we see them coming away with all three points once again.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 63.84% . A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 16.03% .
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.92%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%) , while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (4.53%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood .
Result Vitoria de Guimaraes Draw SC Farense 63.84% ( 0.01) 20.13% ( 0.01) 16.03% ( -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.5% ( -0.08)
58.45% ( -0.08) 41.54% ( 0.08)
36.05% ( -0.08) 63.94% ( 0.08)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
87.65% ( -0.02) 12.34% ( 0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 61.83% ( -0.04) 38.16% ( 0.04)
61.04% ( -0.07) 38.96% ( 0.07)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 24.31% ( -0.07) 75.68% ( 0.07)
Vitoria de Guimaraes 63.83%
SC Farense 16.03%
Draw 20.13%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Draw SC Farense 2-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.92% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.84% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.61% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 3.53% Total : 63.83% 1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.13% 0-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 16.03%
How you voted: Guimaraes vs Farense
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Draw
SC Farense
12
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-18 16:59:33
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