Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18

Jan 13, 2024 at 8pm UK

Roazhon Park

Rennes
2 - 0
Nice

Bourigeaud (31' pen.), Kalimuendo (54')
Omari (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Guingamp 0-2 Rennes
Sunday, January 7 at 1.30pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nice 0-0 Auxerre (4-2 pen.)
Saturday, January 6 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nice have prided themselves on defensive discipline all season long, but with Todibo still on the naughty step and Thuram in the treatment room, Les Aiglons' hopes of another clean sheet at Roazhon Park are slim to say the least. Farioli's title chasers have had Rennes' number over the past 12 months, though, and given the hosts' rearguard frailties on home soil, a share of the spoils could be on the cards here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Nice
36% ( -0.03)	25.66% ( 0)	38.33% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 55.37% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.29% (

-0.02)

48.71% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.18% (

-0.02)

70.82% (

0.01)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.76% (

-0.03)

26.23% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.66% (

-0.04)

61.34% (

0.03)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.06% (

0.01)

24.94% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.42% (

0.01)

59.57% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Rennes 36%

Nice 38.33%

Draw 25.65%

Rennes	Draw	Nice
1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.61% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 3.29% Total : 36%	1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.65%	0-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.91% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.62% 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.77% Total : 38.33%