Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15

Dec 10, 2023 at 12pm UK

Allianz Riviera

Nice
2 - 1
Reims

Laborde (55'), Boga (82')
Bard (86'), Ndayishimiye (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Abdelhamid (78')
Foket (61'), Abdelhamid (84'), Matusiwa (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Reims, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions

Last Game: Nantes 1-0 Nice
Saturday, December 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Reims

All competitions

Last Game: Reims 2-1 Strasbourg
Friday, December 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

With two pragmatic sides who have enjoyed success at keeping things tight and frustrating opposition attackers, there is a high chance that they could cancel each other out here. Remarkably, five of the last six head-to-heads between these two sides have ended 0-0, with just 19 goals in their last 16 meetings, and a repeat is very possible. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 46.06%. A win for Reims had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
Nice	Draw	Reims
46.06% ( 0.33)	26.71% ( 0.04)	27.24% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 48.64% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.21% (

-0.35)

55.79% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.09% (

-0.29)

76.92% (

0.29)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.82% (

24.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.49% (

0.01)

58.51%

Reims Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.15% (

-0.48)

35.85% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.38% (

-0.5)

72.63% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Nice 46.05%

Reims 27.24%

Draw 26.7%

Nice	Draw	Reims
1-0 @ 12.3% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 46.05%	1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.7%	0-1 @ 8.89% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.96% Total : 27.24%