Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22

Feb 18, 2024 at 2pm UK

Roazhon Park

Rennes
3 - 1
Clermont

Omari (31'), Terrier (58', 64')
Seidu (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Matsima (62')
Caufriez (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: AC Milan 3-0 Rennes
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Clermont

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Clermont 1-1 Brest
Sunday, February 11 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rennes endured a difficult evening in Milan on Thursday, but they should be very confident of returning to winning ways against the division's basement dwellers. Clermont conceded four without laying a glove on Lille during their last Ligue 1 outing, and we are expecting a similar story for Les Lanciers at Roazhon Park on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 18.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Clermont
59.87% ( 0.93)	21.99% ( -0.42)	18.14% ( -0.5)

Both teams to score 51.73% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.9% (

1.03)

46.1% (

-1.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.6% (

0.97)

68.4% (

-0.97)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.01% (

0.65)

14.99% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.57% (

1.23)

43.43% (

-1.23)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.85% (

0.03)

39.15% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.13% (

0.03)

75.86% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Rennes 59.86%

Clermont 18.14%

Draw 21.98%

Rennes	Draw	Clermont
1-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.48% Total : 59.86%	1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.98%	0-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 18.14%