Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33

May 10, 2024 at 8pm UK

Allianz Riviera

Nice
1 - 0
Le Havre

Boga (12')
Todibo (16'), Bard (65')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-3 Nice
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Le Havre 3-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Morale is high in both camps right now, but Nice have partially returned to their former defensive ways, while Le Havre's rearguard record on the road still leaves a lot to be desired. A lengthy rest could either be a help or a hindrance for Farioli's men, but we still have faith in the Champions League hopefuls to get the job done and leave Le Havre relying on other results to go their way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 65.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 13.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nice in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nice.

Result
Nice	Draw	Le Havre
65.52% ( 0.19)	20.52% ( -0.1)	13.96% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 47.12% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.57% (

0.22)

47.43% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.36% (

0.21)

69.64% (

-0.21)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.34% (

0.13)

13.66% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.14% (

0.25)

40.85% (

-0.25)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.57% (

45.42% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.73% (

81.27% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Nice 65.51%

Le Havre 13.96%

Draw 20.52%

Nice	Draw	Le Havre
1-0 @ 12.35% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 12.29% 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 65.51%	1-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.83% Other @ 0.74% Total : 20.52%	0-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.26% Total : 13.96%