Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30

Apr 21, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade Oceane

Le Havre
0 - 1
Metz

Sangante (21'), Targhalline (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mikautadze (46')
N'Doram (16'), Boloni (17'), Oukidja (78'), Jean Jacques (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Le Havre 0-1 Nantes
Sunday, April 14 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Metz

All competitions

Last Game: Metz 2-1 Lens
Friday, April 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Le Havre come into this game having won just one of their last 12 games across all competitions, and with Metz winning three of their last six, the visitors come into this one in much better form. While the visitors have failed to beat the hosts since 2014, we believe that their recent performances and results leave them as the favourites to win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Metz had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.

Result
Le Havre	Draw	Metz
40.07% ( 0.33)	25.92% ( 0.03)	34.01% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 54.18% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.9% (

-0.21)

50.1% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.93% (

-0.18)

72.07% (

0.18)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.35% (

0.08)

24.65% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.83% (

0.11)

59.17% (

-0.11)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.9% (

-0.32)

28.09% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.24% (

-0.41)

63.76% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Le Havre 40.07%

Metz 34.01%

Draw 25.92%

Le Havre	Draw	Metz
1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 40.07%	1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.92%	0-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.01%