Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8

Oct 7, 2023 at 4pm UK

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz
0 - 1
Nice

FT(HT: 0-1)

Boudaoui (14')
Thuram (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

All competitions

Last Game: Toulouse 3-0 Metz
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Nice

All competitions

Last Game: Nice 0-0 Brest
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nice, who beat Metz 2-0 in their last visit to the Stade Saint-Symphorien in January 2022, will be regarded as firm favourites to come out on top this weekend considering the contrasting form of the two teams. The hosts may struggle to breach the best defence in Ligue 1, and although the visitors drew a blank in front of goal last time out, they should have few problems finding the net en route to a routine victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Metz had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nice in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nice.

Result
Metz	Draw	Nice
33.56% ( -0.3)	26.37% ( -0.03)	40.07% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 52.62% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.94% (

0.06)

52.06% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.21% (

0.05)

73.79% (

-0.05)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.66% (

-0.16)

29.34% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.68% (

-0.2)

65.31% (

0.2)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.46% (

0.2)

25.54% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.6% (

0.28)

60.39% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Metz 33.56%

Nice 40.06%

Draw 26.37%

Metz	Draw	Nice
1-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.56%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 40.06%