Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3

Aug 27, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade Gabriel Montpied

Clermont
0 - 1
Metz

Cham (58')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mikautadze (69')
Sabaly (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Clermont and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Clermont

All competitions

Last Game: Reims 2-0 Clermont
Sunday, August 20 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Metz

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Metz 2-2 Marseille
Friday, August 18 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Clermont are struggling defensively at the beginning of this campaign, and the visit of last season's top scorers in Ligue 2 on Sunday may not come at the best time for the hosts. Even while playing with 10 men for the majority of the second half, Metz were competitive against Marseille and should be good enough for a point this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Metz in this match.

Result
Clermont	Draw	Metz
34.7% ( -1.12)	26.93% ( 0.43)	38.36% ( 0.69)

Both teams to score 51.01% (

-1.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.8% (

-1.86)

54.2% (

1.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.39% (

-1.57)

75.6% (

1.57)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.33% (

-1.6)

29.67% (

1.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.28% (

-1.98)

65.72% (

1.98)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.53% (

-0.48)

27.47% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.03% (

-0.63)

62.96% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Clermont 34.7%

Metz 38.36%

Draw 26.93%

Clermont	Draw	Metz
1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.43% Total : 34.7%	1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.57) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.93%	0-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.61) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.02% Total : 38.36%