La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 32

Apr 20, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Osasuna

Chavarria (80'), Isi (84')
Valentin (45'), Lopez (46'), Ciss (51'), Isi (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gomez (29')
Munoz (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Getafe
Saturday, April 13 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Osasuna

All competitions

Last Game: Osasuna 0-1 Valencia
Monday, April 15 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Osasuna

This is a really tough match to call, but the signs are pointing to a stalemate here. Rayo have shared the points in eight of their 15 home league fixtures this term, including draws in three of their last four, and we can see a close fixture ending 1-1 on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 42.87%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 28.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Osasuna
42.87% ( 0.04)	28.77%	28.36% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 43.68% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.58% (

-0.01)

62.42% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.96% (

-0.01)

82.04% (

0.01)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.11% (

0.02)

28.89% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.24% (

0.02)

64.76% (

-0.02)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.43% (

-0.04)

38.57% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.69% (

-0.03)

75.32% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 42.86%

Osasuna 28.36%

Draw 28.77%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Osasuna
1-0 @ 13.83% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 1.55% Total : 42.86%	1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.77%	0-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 1.57% Total : 28.36%