La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 31

Apr 15, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna
0 - 1
Valencia

FT(HT: 0-1)

Almeida (18')
Baraja (45'), Duro (56'), Mamardashvili (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions

Last Game: Almeria 0-3 Osasuna
Saturday, March 30 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Valencia

All competitions

Last Game: Granada 0-1 Valencia
Thursday, April 4 at 7pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Valencia will enter this match full of confidence, but they have only won four of their 15 away league matches this season, and Osasuna can be a tough nut to crack. It would not be a surprise to see a home or indeed an away success here, but we are backing a score draw at El Sadar on Monday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Valencia
36.7% ( -0.11)	28.59% ( 0.04)	34.71% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 46.02% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.58% (

-0.13)

60.42% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.45% (

-0.1)

80.55% (

0.1)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.49% (

-0.14)

31.51% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.1% (

-0.16)

67.9% (

0.16)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.19% (

-0.02)

32.81% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.63% (

-0.02)

69.37% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Osasuna 36.7%

Valencia 34.7%

Draw 28.58%

Osasuna	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.7%	1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.58%	0-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.42% 0-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 34.7%