La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 27

Mar 2, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
2 - 2
Real Madrid

Duro (27'), Yaremchuk (30')
Yaremchuk (4'), Diakhaby (83')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Junior (45+5', 76')
Junior (72'), Valverde (80'), Joselu (90+10')
Bellingham (90+10')

Real Madrid slam "unprecedented" decision over disallowed Jude Bellingham goal

Real Madrid blast referee Gil Manzano for his "unprecedented" to deny Jude Bellingham a last-minute winner in Saturday's 2-2 draw with Valencia in La Liga.

Mar 3, 12:16

Real Madrid's Vinicius Junior celebrates scoring their third goal and completes his hat-trick on January 14, 2024

La Liga 'investigating fresh claims of racial abuse towards Vinicius Junior'

Fresh claims of racist abuse towards Vinicius Junior in Real Madrid's 2-2 draw with Valencia are being investigated by La Liga, according to a report.

Mar 4, 12:18

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Valencia 0-0 Sevilla
Saturday, February 17 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 1-0 Sevilla
Sunday, February 25 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Valencia 1-2 Real Madrid

Valencia will certainly be the fresher of the two sides, and Los Che have won seven of their 12 home league matches this season, losing just twice. Real Madrid have been excellent on their travels in La Liga this term, though, and we are backing Ancelotti's side to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 24.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Real Madrid
24.16% ( 0.01)	25.45% ( 0.06)	50.39% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 49.65% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.84% (

-0.2)

53.16% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.27% (

-0.17)

74.73% (

0.18)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.94% (

-0.1)

37.06% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.15% (

-0.1)

73.85% (

0.11)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.89% (

-0.11)

21.11% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.05% (

-0.17)

53.95% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Valencia 24.16%

Real Madrid 50.39%

Draw 25.45%

Valencia	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.74% Total : 24.16%	1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.45%	0-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.91% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.87% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 50.39%