La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 38

May 25, 2024 at 1pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna
1 - 1
Villarreal

Budimir (30')
Munoz (34'), Pena (82'), Arnaiz (88'), Garcia (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Luis Morales (57')
Baena (10'), Traore (40'), Mosquera (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico 1-4 Osasuna
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Villarreal

All competitions

Last Game: Villarreal 4-4 Real Madrid
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Osasuna 1-3 Villarreal

Villarreal have won five of their last eight road trips in the top flight, and we think that they produce another strong away performance to claim maximum points and spoil Arrasate's Osasunsa farewell. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Villarreal
42.95% ( 1.08)	25.14% ( -0.41)	31.9% ( -0.66)

Both teams to score 56.11% (

1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.7% (

1.58)

47.3% (

-1.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.47% (

1.44)

69.52% (

-1.45)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78% (

1.2)

21.99% (

-1.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.7% (

1.78)

55.3% (

-1.78)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.94% (

0.34)

28.06% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.28% (

0.44)

63.72% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

Osasuna 42.95%

Villarreal 31.9%

Draw 25.14%

Osasuna	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.37% Total : 42.95%	1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.14%	0-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.45) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 31.9%