La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 15

Dec 2, 2023 at 1pm UK

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Girona
2 - 1
Valencia

Stuani (82', 88')
Blind (36'), Couto (42'), Savio (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Duro (56')
Gasiorowski (61'), Duro (77'), Paulista (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Girona and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Girona 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Monday, November 27 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Valencia

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Valencia 0-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, November 25 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

This is a testing period for Girona, as their winning momentum was broken last time out, and Valencia are not losing too many matches at the moment. It would not be a surprise to see Girona return to winning ways, but we have a feeling that Valencia will be good enough for a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
Girona	Draw	Valencia
46.64% ( 0.04)	24.93% ( -0.01)	28.43% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 54.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.01% (

0.01)

47.98% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.84% (

0.01)

70.15% (

-0.02)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.38% (

0.02)

20.62% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.82% (

0.03)

53.17% (

-0.04)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.2% (

-0.02)

30.8% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.93% (

-0.02)

67.07% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Girona 46.63%

Valencia 28.43%

Draw 24.92%

Girona	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 46.63%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.92%	0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 28.43%