CONCACAF Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg

Apr 3, 2024 at 2am UK

Gillette Stadium

New England
0 - 4
America

(Club America win 9-2 on aggregate)

Polster (20'), Vrioni (44'), Mensah (60')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Martin (16'), Zendejas (24'), Calderon (63'), Rodriguez (90+1')
Calderon (44')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League Quarter-Finals clash between New England Revolution and Club America.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions

CONCACAF Champions League

Last Game: New England 1-1 Chicago Fire
Saturday, March 23 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Club America

All competitions

CONCACAF Champions League

Last Game: America 2-1 Atletico San Luis
Saturday, March 30 at 2am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 44%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.85%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
New England Revolution	Draw	Club America
32.94% ( -1.42)	23.06% ( -0.37)	44% ( 1.79)

Both teams to score 64.02% (

0.9)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.86% (

1.38)

37.13% (

-1.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.66% (

1.48)

59.33% (

-1.49)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.46% (

-0.13)

22.54% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.88% (

-0.19)

56.11% (

0.18)

Club America Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.64% (

1.29)

17.35% (

-1.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.25% (

2.22)

47.75% (

-2.23)

Score Analysis

New England Revolution 32.94%

Club America 44%

Draw 23.05%

New England Revolution	Draw	Club America
2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.25) 1-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.42) 2-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 32.94%	1-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.05%	1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 6% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 5.22% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 2.28% ( 0.21) 2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.15) Other @ 4.1% Total : 44%