Championship

Championship | Gameweek 35

Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Den

Millwall
1 - 0
Watford

Flemming (3')
McNamara (45'), Leonard (75'), Flemming (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kayembe (1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Millwall
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Watford

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Watford 1-2 Huddersfield
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

A sold-out Den will give returning coach Harris a resounding reception on Saturday afternoon, and we feel that a hostile home crowd could push Millwall towards victory. Watford's season has stalled in recent weeks, and we are expecting another tough Championship contest for the Hornets this weekend in the capital. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Watford
31.65% ( 0.09)	26.82% ( -0.01)	41.53% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 50.62% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.64% (

0.05)

54.36% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.26% (

0.04)

75.74% (

-0.04)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.23% (

0.09)

31.77% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.8% (

0.1)

68.2% (

-0.1)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.19% (

-0.02)

25.81% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.23% (

-0.02)

60.77% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Millwall 31.65%

Watford 41.52%

Draw 26.82%

Millwall	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 31.65%	1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.82%	0-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.52%