Championship

Championship | Gameweek 9

Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Den

Millwall
0 - 3
Swansea

Cooper (22'), Longman (45+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lowe (23' pen.), Grimes (57'), Kukharevych (79')
Rushworth (66'), Cabango (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swansea City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Swansea 3-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Millwall 2-1 Swansea City

This has all the makings of being a hard-fought contest, particularly with Swansea having got back on track last weekend. Nevertheless, Millwall may prove tough to beat on home territory, leading us to opt for a narrow triumph for the East Londoners. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Swansea City
39.44% ( 0.18)	27.04% ( -0.03)	33.52% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 50.47% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.21% (

0.09)

54.78% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.9% (

0.07)

76.09% (

-0.08)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.86% (

0.14)

27.14% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.46% (

0.18)

62.53% (

-0.19)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.27% (

-0.06)

30.73% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.02% (

-0.06)

66.98% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Millwall 39.44%

Swansea City 33.52%

Draw 27.04%

Millwall	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.44%	1-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.04%	0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.09% Total : 33.52%