Championship

Championship | Gameweek 5

Sep 2, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
1 - 1
Millwall

Stansfield (53')
Bacuna (46')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Nisbet (6')
Harding (57'), Norton-Cuffy (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Birmingham 1-3 Cardiff
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Millwall

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Birmingham City 0-1 Millwall

Birmingham have done superbly to commence their campaign with 10 points from a possible 12, but we feel that Blues' luck in terms of last-minute winners is set to run out this weekend. Millwall will happily concede possession to the hosts at St Andrew's on Saturday - a tactic which often works well against a Birmingham side who like to hit opponents on the counter-attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Millwall
31.84% ( -0.03)	28.44% ( 0)	39.72% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 45.95% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.72% (

-0.03)

60.27% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.55% (

-0.02)

80.45% (

0.02)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.28% (

-0.04)

34.72% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.55% (

-0.04)

71.45% (

0.04)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.38% (

-0)

29.62% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.34% (

-0)

65.65%

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 31.83%

Millwall 39.72%

Draw 28.43%

Birmingham City	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 7% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 31.83%	1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.43%	0-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.05% 0-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 3.09% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.99% 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.53% Total : 39.72%