Championship

Championship | Gameweek 2

Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
1 - 0
Leeds

Jutkiewicz (90+1' pen.)
Ruddy (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ampadu (22'), Byram (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leeds United

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Shrewsbury
Wednesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Leeds United

Leeds United do still have plenty of quality in their squad, but mood in the camp may have taken a big hit, and playing with a weakened side away at a Birmingham City team who are full of optimism with a new-look XI, we do not see the newly-relegated side taking all three points and instead opt for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Leeds United
28.35% ( -0.05)	26.24% ( 0.07)	45.4% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 50.73% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.56% (

-0.3)

53.44% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.03% (

-0.25)

74.96% (

0.25)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.28% (

-0.2)

33.71% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.63% (

-0.21)

70.37% (

0.21)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.53% (

-0.14)

23.47% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.51% (

-0.2)

57.48% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 28.35%

Leeds United 45.4%

Draw 26.24%

Birmingham City	Draw	Leeds United
1-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.68% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 28.35%	1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.24%	0-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 45.4%