Championship

Championship | Gameweek 16

Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Portman Road Stadium

Ipswich
3 - 2
Swansea

Taylor (17'), Chaplin (22'), Hirst (53' pen.)
Chaplin (26'), Scarlett (81')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Fulton (7'), Lowe (90+5')
Cullen (26'), Duff (27'), Walsh (86')
Cullen (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Ipswich
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 0-0 Sunderland
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Ipswich Town 3-1 Swansea City

With Ipswich enduring their first major blip of the campaign, Swansea will fancy their chances of causing a surprise at Portman Road. However, Ipswich will be motivated to return to winning ways in front of their own supporters, leading us to predict a maximum haul for McKenna's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich Town	Draw	Swansea City
44.28% ( 0.28)	23.12% ( 0.15)	32.6% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 63.64% (

-0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.42% (

-0.93)

37.58% (

0.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.19% (

-1)

59.81% (

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.58% (

-0.26)

17.42% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.13% (

-0.46)

47.87% (

0.46)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.06% (

-0.68)

22.94% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.29% (

-1.01)

56.71% (

1.01)

Score Analysis

Ipswich Town 44.28%

Swansea City 32.6%

Draw 23.12%

Ipswich Town	Draw	Swansea City
2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.05% Total : 44.28%	1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.12%	1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.16% Total : 32.6%