Championship

Championship | Gameweek 14

Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

Portman Road Stadium

Ipswich
3 - 2
Plymouth

Mumba (45+1' og.), Hirst (54'), Harness (86')
Luongo (32'), Woolfenden (66'), Williams (68'), Edmundson (74')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Whittaker (7'), Edwards (90+1')
Miller (28'), Mumba (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Ipswich
Wednesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Last Game: Plymouth 3-0 Sheff Weds
Wednesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Ipswich Town 2-0 Plymouth Argyle

Plymouth certainly showed last season that they can compete with Kieran McKenna's Ipswich side, but the hosts have stepped up to a new level this term, and we cannot envisage the Pilgrims derailing their momentum, particularly at Portman Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 15.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 3-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich Town	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
66.4% ( -0.04)	18.05% ( 0.01)	15.54% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 60.07% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.47% (

0.03)

32.53% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.82% (

0.04)

54.18% (

-0.04)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.87%

9.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.03%

30.96%

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.09% (

0.06)

33.9% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.42% (

0.07)

70.57% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Ipswich Town 66.4%

Plymouth Argyle 15.54%

Draw 18.05%

Ipswich Town	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.65% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.58% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.48% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.19% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.03% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 4.97% Total : 66.4%	1-1 @ 8.01% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.09% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.05%	1-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.35% 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.81% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 15.54%