Championship

Championship | Gameweek 11

Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff
1 - 1
Watford

McGuinness (26')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Issouf Bayo (54')
Sierralta (39'), Lewis (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Cardiff
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Watford
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Watford

With Cardiff having lost out at Middlesbrough, Watford will sense an opportunity to get back on track. Nevertheless, the Welsh side have been excellent at home this season and we cannot envisage Watford getting over the line, even if they do prove to be competitive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 50.27%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Watford had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Watford
50.27% ( 0.51)	26.24% ( -0.15)	23.48% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 46.71% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.34% (

0.25)

56.66% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.38% (

0.2)

77.62% (

-0.2)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.38% (

0.33)

22.62% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.77% (

0.49)

56.23% (

-0.49)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.36% (

-0.2)

39.64% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.68% (

-0.18)

76.32% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 50.27%

Watford 23.48%

Draw 26.24%

Cardiff City	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 13.32% 2-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.81% Total : 50.27%	1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.24%	0-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.39% Total : 23.48%