Championship

Championship | Gameweek 5

Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Coventry Building Society Arena

Coventry
3 - 3
Watford

van Ewijk (41'), Hoedt (64' og.), Godden (87')
Eccles (24'), McFadzean (60'), Sheaf (76')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Rajovic (35', 79'), Martins (52')
Porteous (30'), Sierralta (40'), Hoedt (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Coventry City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Coventry 0-0 Sunderland
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Watford

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Watford 0-1 Blackburn
Sunday, August 27 at 12pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Coventry City 1-0 Watford

Coventry are still adapting to life following the high-profile departures of Gyokeres and Hamer over the summer, although we feel that the Sky Blues should be good enough for a victory on Saturday. Watford are not the same team who used to dominate proceedings in the Championship, and we are expecting them to extend their losing run to three league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Watford had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Coventry City	Draw	Watford
44.03% ( 0.02)	26.9% ( -0.02)	29.07% ( -0)

Both teams to score 49.21% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.39% (

0.07)

55.61% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.23% (

0.05)

76.77% (

-0.05)

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.91% (

0.04)

25.1% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.21% (

0.06)

59.79% (

-0.05)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.69% (

0.03)

34.31% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.99% (

0.04)

71.01% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Coventry City 44.03%

Watford 29.07%

Draw 26.9%

Coventry City	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 11.9% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 44.03%	1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.9%	0-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 29.07%