Bahia have continuously been able to grind out victories and come up with something special at pivotal moments, and that could be what separates these two sides on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Criciuma had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Criciuma win was 1-0 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Criciuma	Draw	Bahia
35.01% ( -0.33)	26.84% ( 0.05)	38.16% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 51.36% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.23% (

-0.22)

53.77% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.76% (

-0.18)

75.24% (

0.18)

Criciuma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.73% (

-0.31)

29.26% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.77% (

-0.38)

65.23% (

0.38)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.61% (

0.06)

27.39% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.15% (

0.08)

62.85% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Criciuma 35.01%

Bahia 38.15%

Draw 26.83%

Criciuma	Draw	Bahia
1-0 @ 9.85% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 35.01%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.83%	0-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 38.15%