World Cup

World Cup | Group Stage

Nov 26, 2022 at 1pm UK

National Stadium

Poland
2 - 0
Saudi Arabia

Zielinski (39'), Lewandowski (82')
Kiwior (15'), Cash (16'), Milik (19')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Al-Malki (20'), Al Amri (45+4')

Robert Lewandowski: 'I have fulfilled my dream at World Cup'

Poland striker Robert Lewandowski expresses his delight after 'fulfilling his dream' of scoring his first World Cup goal in the 2-0 win over Saudi Arabia on Saturday.

Nov 26, 17:29

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions

World Cup

Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Poland
Tuesday, November 22 at 4pm in World Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saudi Arabia	1	1	3
2	Mexico	1	0	1
3	Poland	1	0	1
4	Argentina	1	-1	0

Saudi Arabia

All competitions

World Cup

Last Game: Argentina 1-2 Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, November 22 at 10am in World Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saudi Arabia	1	1	3
2	Mexico	1	0	1
3	Poland	1	0	1
4	Argentina	1	-1	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Saudi Arabia win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.

Result
Poland	Draw	Saudi Arabia
39.96% ( -0.07)	27.7% ( -0.02)	32.34% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 48.21% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.48% (

0.08)

57.51% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.69% (

0.06)

78.3% (

-0.06)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.85% (

-0.01)

28.14% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.17% (

-0.01)

63.82% (

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.09% (

0.1)

32.91% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.51% (

0.11)

69.48% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Poland 39.95%

Saudi Arabia 32.34%

Draw 27.7%

Poland	Draw	Saudi Arabia
1-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 39.95%	1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.7%	0-1 @ 10.29% 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.34%