Netherlands

1 - 1

Ecuador

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 51.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 22.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.