World Cup

World Cup | Group Stage

Dec 1, 2022 at 7pm UK

Costa Rica
2 - 4
Germany

Tejeda (58'), Pablo Vargas (70')
Duarte (76')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gnabry (10'), Havertz (73', 85'), Fullkrug (89')

Hansi Flick: 'We only have ourselves to blame for World Cup exit'

Germany head coach Hansi Flick says that his side only have themselves to blame for their group-stage exit at the 2022 World Cup.

Dec 2, 15:20

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Costa Rica

All competitions

World Cup

Last Game: Japan 0-1 Costa Rica
Sunday, November 27 at 10am in World Cup

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	2	7	4
2	Japan	2	0	3
3	Costa Rica	2	-6	3
4	Germany	2	-1	1

Germany

All competitions

World Cup

Last Game: Spain 1-1 Germany
Sunday, November 27 at 7pm in World Cup

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	2	7	4
2	Japan	2	0	3
3	Costa Rica	2	-6	3
4	Germany	2	-1	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 73.62%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 10.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.49%) and 0-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.6%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 1-0 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.

Result
Costa Rica	Draw	Germany
10.26% ( -0.3)	16.12% ( -0.19)	73.62% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 50.41% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.11% (

-0.02)

36.88% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.94% (

-0.02)

59.06% (

0.02)

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.17% (

-0.58)

44.83% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.2% (

-0.47)

80.8% (

0.47)

Germany Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.38% (

0.1)

8.62% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.25% (

0.25)

29.74% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Costa Rica 10.26%

Germany 73.61%

Draw 16.12%

Costa Rica	Draw	Germany
1-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.87% Total : 10.26%	1-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 3.86% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.92% Total : 16.12%	0-2 @ 11.6% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 9.49% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 7.61% ( -0) 0-4 @ 5.81% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 4.66% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 2.85% ( 0.07) 1-5 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 0-6 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) 1-6 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 73.61%