Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 19.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Danubio
58.57% ( -0.01)	22.41% ( 0)	19.02% ( -0)

Both teams to score 51.97% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.42% (

-0.03)

46.57% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.15% (

-0.03)

68.85% (

0.02)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.42% (

-0.01)

15.57% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.46% (

-0.02)

44.54% (

0.02)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.56% (

-0.02)

38.44% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.81% (

-0.02)

75.19% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Nacional 58.56%

Danubio 19.02%

Draw 22.4%

Nacional	Draw	Danubio
1-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.42% 3-1 @ 6.13% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.98% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 58.56%	1-1 @ 10.64% 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.4%	0-1 @ 5.72% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.09% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.74% 1-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 19.02%

Head to Head

Nov 16, 2023 12.30am

Gameweek 10

Nacional

1-3

Danubio

Martinez (39')
Martinez (37'), Bocanegra (44'), Baez (83'), Polenta (88')
Baez (87')

Romero (7'), Fernandez (64')
Etchebarne (13'), Lewis (71'), Ferreira (79'), Millan (90')

Apr 9, 2023 7.30pm

Gameweek 10

Danubio

0-0

Nacional

Oct 23, 2022 11.30pm

Gameweek 15

Nacional

2-0

Danubio

Fagundez (5'), Suarez (45')

Jun 25, 2022 7pm

Gameweek 3

Danubio

0-1

Nacional

Rea (24'), Vicente (90')

Luis Rodriguez (80')
Marichal (24'), Castro (57'), Laborda (73'), Carballo (90+4')

Jun 5, 2022 7pm

Gameweek 15

Danubio

2-1

Nacional

German Haller Piloni (6'), Rodriguez (72' pen.)
Fossati (13'), Rea (38'), Vicente (49'), Ferreira (76'), Rodriguez (84'), Navarro (90+3')
German Haller Piloni (12'), Rodriguez (84')

Fagundez (61')
Candido (51')

Form Guide

Maldonado 0-2 Nacional

Tachira 0-1 Nacional

Nacional 1-4 Fenix

Nacional 2-2 River Plate

Nacional 4-2 Racing

Cerro 1-2 Nacional

Danubio 0-1 Racing

Athletico PR 1-2 Danubio

Cerro 2-0 Danubio

Ameliano 2-1 Danubio