Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7

Apr 6, 2024 at 10pm UK

Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
1 - 0
Cerro Largo

Baez (32')
Pereyra (20'), Sosa (37'), Baez (39'), Acosta (53'), Zabala (79'), Recoba (80'), Velazquez (85'), Zabala (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Romero (40'), Castro (65'), Formento (75')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Cerro Largo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

Uruguayan Primera Division

Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Libertad
Wednesday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Cerro Largo

All competitions

Uruguayan Primera Division

Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-2 Racing
Friday, March 29 at 3.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 60.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 15.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.1%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Cerro Largo
60.3% ( -0.13)	24.27% ( 0.07)	15.42% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 40.12% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.15% (

-0.16)

58.85% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.64% (

-0.13)

79.35% (

0.12)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.6% (

-0.11)

19.4% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.78% (

-0.18)

51.21% (

0.18)

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.77% (

-0.02)

50.23% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.18% (

-0.01)

84.81% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Nacional 60.29%

Cerro Largo 15.42%

Draw 24.27%

Nacional	Draw	Cerro Largo
1-0 @ 15.97% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 13.1% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 60.29%	1-1 @ 11% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.42% Total : 24.27%	0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 15.42%