Swiss Super League | Gameweek 30

Apr 2, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Stadio di Cornaredo

Lugano
2 - 0
Basel

Hajdari (44'), Steffen (69')
Steffen (41'), Macek (52')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Drager (55'), Kacuri (55'), Augustin (64'), Kayombo (66'), Frei (67')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and Basel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions

Last Game: SLO 1-3 Lugano
Saturday, March 30 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Basel

All competitions

Last Game: Basel 2-2 FC Zurich
Saturday, March 30 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Basel had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.

Result
Lugano	Draw	Basel
43.35% ( -0.72)	23.92% ( 0.23)	32.73% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 60.72% (

-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.58% (

-0.94)

41.42% (

0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.18% (

-0.96)

63.82% (

0.96)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.63% (

-0.69)

19.36% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.85% (

-1.14)

51.15% (

1.14)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.3% (

-0.17)

24.7% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.76% (

-0.23)

59.23% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Lugano 43.35%

Basel 32.73%

Draw 23.92%

Lugano	Draw	Basel
2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.24% Total : 43.35%	1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.92%	1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.71% Total : 32.73%