Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 30

Mar 17, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Stade Pierre Duboeuf

Trabzonspor
2 - 3
Fenerbahce

Bardhi (63'), Trezeguet (78' pen.)
Destan (52'), Denswil (70'), Elmali (76'), Trezeguet (78'), Bozok (90+13')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Fred (13', 45+4'), Batshuayi (87')
Djiku (75'), Hakan Yandas (76'), Osayi-Samuel (82'), Oosterwolde (90+13')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Trabzonspor and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Trabzonspor

All competitions

Last Game: Trabzonspor 5-1 Karagumruk
Saturday, March 9 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fenerbahce

All competitions

Turkish Super Lig

Last Game: Fenerbahce 0-1 Union SG
Thursday, March 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Trabzonspor 1-2 Fenerbahce

It is going to be a tight affair but Fenerbahce have enough quality to get over the line on Sunday. Trabzonspor showed that they can be vulnerable on home soil when they lost woefully to Galatasaray a couple of weeks ago and we think that they will fall short. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 1-0 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Trabzonspor	Draw	Fenerbahce
34.03% ( 0.4)	25.05% ( -0.07)	40.91% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 57.14% (

0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.72% (

0.43)

46.28% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.43% (

0.4)

68.57% (

-0.4)

Trabzonspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.76% (

0.45)

26.24% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.65% (

0.59)

61.35% (

-0.59)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.47% (

0.03)

22.53% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.89% (

0.04)

56.11% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Trabzonspor 34.03%

Fenerbahce 40.91%

Draw 25.05%

Trabzonspor	Draw	Fenerbahce
1-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.27% Total : 34.03%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.05%	0-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 40.91%