Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Domzale win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Aluminij had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Domzale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Aluminij win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Domzale would win this match.

Result
Aluminij	Draw	NK Domzale
29.01% ( -0.39)	25.43% ( 0.39)	45.56% ( -0)

Both teams to score 53.68% (

-1.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.21% (

-1.86)

49.79% (

1.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.2% (

-1.69)

71.8% (

1.69)

Aluminij Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.69% (

-1.24)

31.31% (

1.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.33% (

-1.46)

67.67% (

1.46)

NK Domzale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.15% (

-0.77)

21.84% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.93% (

-1.19)

55.07% (

1.19)

Score Analysis

Aluminij 29.01%

NK Domzale 45.56%

Draw 25.43%

Aluminij	Draw	NK Domzale
1-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.01%	1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.43%	0-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 9.19% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.35% Total : 45.56%