Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Modena had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Ascoli	Draw	Modena
41.96% ( 0.54)	28.13% ( -0.15)	29.91% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 46.13% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.28% (

0.4)

59.72% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.97% (

0.3)

80.02% (

-0.3)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.91% (

0.49)

28.08% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.25% (

0.62)

63.75% (

-0.62)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.14% (

-0.08)

35.86% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.37% (

-0.08)

72.63% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Ascoli 41.95%

Modena 29.9%

Draw 28.12%

Ascoli	Draw	Modena
1-0 @ 12.78% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.74% Total : 41.95%	1-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.12%	0-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.99% Total : 29.9%