Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 21

Jan 21, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
1 - 2
Genoa

Martegani (2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Retegui (13'), Gudmundsson (58' pen.)
Frendrup (29'), Badelj (45+1'), Bani (60'), Vogliacco (70'), Martinez (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Salernitana
Saturday, January 13 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Genoa 0-0 Torino
Saturday, January 13 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Salernitana 0-1 Genoa

Although Genoa have struggled to score regularly on the road, Salernitana's vulnerable defence can be breached at least once by Gilardino's tough-to-beat Grifone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Genoa
30.41% ( -0.12)	26.38% ( -0.08)	43.21% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 51.46% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.96% (

0.26)

53.03% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.38% (

0.22)

74.62% (

-0.22)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.03% (

0.05)

31.97% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.58% (

0.06)

68.42% (

-0.06)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.64% (

0.22)

24.36% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.24% (

0.3)

58.76% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 30.41%

Genoa 43.2%

Draw 26.38%

Salernitana	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.41%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.38%	0-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.62% Total : 43.2%