Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 36

May 11, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
0 - 2
Bologna

Kvaratskhelia (33'), Cajuste (47')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Ndoye (9'), Posch (12')
Lucumi (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Napoli
Monday, May 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bologna

All competitions

Last Game: Torino 0-0 Bologna
Friday, May 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

As Napoli rarely make the most of their ponderous possession, and Bologna have a reputation for being tough to beat either home or away, a low-scoring draw should be expected at Stadio Maradona this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Bologna
45.15% ( -0.04)	25.79% ( 0.03)	29.06% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 52.57% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.74% (

-0.11)

51.27% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.9% (

-0.09)

73.1% (

0.1)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.34% (

-0.06)

22.66% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.7% (

-0.1)

56.3% (

0.1)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.97% (

-0.05)

32.04% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.5% (

-0.05)

68.5% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Napoli 45.14%

Bologna 29.06%

Draw 25.78%

Napoli	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 45.14%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.78%	0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 29.06%