Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 21

Feb 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan
4 - 0
Atalanta

Darmian (26'), Martinez (45+1'), Dimarco (54'), Frattesi (71')
Darmian (22'), Bastoni (76')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ederson (45'), Djimsiti (53'), Hien (65'), Bakker (71'), Bilal Toure (89'), Lookman (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lecce 0-4 Inter Milan
Sunday, February 25 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Atalanta
Sunday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Inter Milan 3-1 Atalanta BC

An entertaining end-to-end contest is to be expected on Wednesday as an average of 3.4 goals have been scored across the last five Serie A meetings between these two in-form teams. Confidence is flowing among both camps, but it is difficult to look beyond a home victory for a rampant title-chasing Inter outfit, who boast an impressive head-to-head record over their Bergamo-based counterparts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 17.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Atalanta BC
60.09% ( -0.05)	22.75% ( 0.04)	17.16% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 47.52% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.23% (

-0.12)

50.77% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.34% (

-0.11)

72.66% (

0.11)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.49% (

-0.06)

16.51% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.75% (

-0.11)

46.25% (

0.11)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.92% (

-0.05)

43.08% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.64% (

-0.04)

79.36% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 60.08%

Atalanta BC 17.16%

Draw 22.74%

Inter Milan	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 12.81% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 60.08%	1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 22.74%	0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.54% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.52% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 17.16%