Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 20

Jan 14, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 2
Udinese

Beltran (55'), N'Zola (87' pen.)
Ranieri (62')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lovric (10'), Thauvin (73')
Kamara (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-0 Bologna (4-4 pen.)
Tuesday, January 9 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Udinese

All competitions

Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Lazio
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Fiorentina 1-0 Udinese

As high-flying Fiorentina have been keeping things tight on home turf and Udinese have scored only six times on the road so far, the Viola should edge to victory by a single goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 68.47%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 12.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Udinese
68.47% ( 0.1)	18.84% ( -0.04)	12.69% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 49.01% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57% (

0.06)

43% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.6% (

0.06)

65.4% (

-0.06)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.5% (

0.04)

11.5% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.62% (

0.1)

36.38% (

-0.09)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.38% (

-0.05)

44.62% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.37% (

-0.04)

80.63% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 68.46%

Udinese 12.69%

Draw 18.84%

Fiorentina	Draw	Udinese
2-0 @ 12% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 68.46%	1-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 18.84%	0-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.24% Total : 12.69%